When will the LDS pass the Methodist in the USA?

1. The Catholic Church, 68,503,456 members, up .57 percent.
2. Southern Baptist Convention, 16,160,088 members, down.42 percent.
3. The United Methodist Church, 7,774,931 members, down1.01 percent.
4. The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints, 6,058,907 members, up 1.42 percent.

2011 Church Membership  HT: SI

When will the LDS pass the Methodist in America?  Or will they?  Things are becoming more and more of a slow go in the United States of America.


  1. This doesn’t change the dynamic you are addressing, Todd, but, in general, the ASA, or Average Sunday Attendance, for each group is going to be between one-quarter and one-half of the numbers given.

  2. I would expect that it will happen sooner than later. Look at the demographics as to the age of the average member. While I don’t have the exact numbers, from checking out various websites of both faiths, I believe the median to be a lot lower with the LDS Church than the Methodist Church. My dad was a Methodist and going to both services, the LDS congregation was full of families and kids while the Methodist church was mostly elderly couples and widows/widowers.

    Sure the average LDS family has four kids nowdays and the Methodists are probably closer to the national average of 2.1, but the largest deciding factor will be the 53,000 missionaries the LDS Church has versus the Methodists who don’t really evangelize anymore.

    Google “Baptist decline” and you’ll hear them lamenting the decrease in their church attendance. The American people are falling away from faith. The LDS Church, JW’s, Pentecostals & Adventists are probably the exceptions. Of these, it’s my own observations that the LDS have the highest rates of activity.

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